Because the convention championships strategy, we have already had six of the eight vacant head teaching jobs stuffed across the NFL, whereas the Dolphins and Bengals are reportedly ready on assistants who’re nonetheless within the playoffs.
For anybody who hasn’t adopted all of the information on theScore app, this is who ended up the place:
- Packers – Matt LaFleur
- Buccaneers – Bruce Arians
- Browns – Freddie Kitchens
- Cardinals – Kliff Kingsbury
- Broncos – Vic Fangio
- Jets – Adam Gase
- Dolphins – Brian Flores*
- Bengals – Zac Taylor*
*Lead candidate based mostly on stories
Whereas we wait on the Dolphins and Bengals, let’s break down the most important winners and losers for 2019 from a fantasy perspective based mostly on the brand new hires.
Winner: Beginning QBs
Not solely had been groups in search of the subsequent Sean McVay – or anybody even remotely related to him – however most entrance workplaces appeared centered on discovering a coach who might help their quarterback excel.
In Inexperienced Bay, Aaron Rodgers will get to maneuver on from Mike McCarthy’s uninspired system in favor of a extra fashionable offense with LaFleur, who labored with McVay in Los Angeles and Washington. This could give homeowners hope that Rodgers can bounce again as an elite fantasy choice.
Jameis Winston, who put up some lofty numbers with far too many turnovers this previous season, will profit from Arians’ potential to combine simple completions with well-timed deep photographs. Winston will likely be an upside fantasy choose within the late rounds.
Kitchens already has a superb relationship with Baker Mayfield and presents the Browns a chance to take care of their momentum from the second half of 2018. Mayfield was a top-10 fantasy QB after Kitchens took over the offense and will get one other enhance from new offensive coordinator Todd Monken – Tampa Bay’s OC in 2018 – though Kitchens will stay the play-caller.
The Cardinals will likely be hoping that Kingsbury can develop Josh Rosen the best way McVay salvaged Jared Goff’s profession after an terrible rookie season. However for that to occur, Arizona additionally must observe Los Angeles’ blueprint by investing within the offensive line. At this level, quantity’s the one factor that may make Rosen remotely intriguing as a fantasy streamer in 2019.
And in New York, the Jets had been skewered for bringing in Gase, who was simply fired by the division-rival Dolphins, although one might argue he acquired essentially the most out of the quarterbacks he was given. Gase’s most noticeable struggles got here when attempting to handle personalities within the locker room, however that should not be a problem with Sam Darnold, who’s a deeper breakout candidate. However, it might be an issue for the Jets’ high receiver …
Loser: Robby Anderson
Now 25 years outdated, Anderson was the WR8 over the ultimate 5 video games of 2018, which included three monster performances within the fantasy playoffs (4-76-1, 7-96-1, 9-140-1). The important thing was an uptick in targets, as he noticed at the very least seven in each recreation throughout that stretch.
Anderson additionally made noise in 2017 – ending as a top-20 fantasy wideout – so why do you have to be involved about this rising participant?
The reason being Gase, who had tumultuous relationships with lots of the Dolphins’ high skill-position gamers, together with Jay Ajayi, Jarvis Landry, DeVante Parker, and Kenyan Drake. In some situations, their enjoying time was diminished, whereas others had been run out of city.
Anderson, a restricted free agent, hasn’t precisely been a mannequin NFL participant whereas being concerned in a number of off-field incidents, so there’s an opportunity he will not mesh nicely with Gase.
The state of affairs provides danger to a fantasy participant who already allow us to down after his breakout season. At this level, Anderson’s a high-ceiling, low-floor gamble for 2019.
Winner: Nick Chubb
Mayfield excelled as soon as Kitchens took over as OC – a giant purpose the latter acquired the pinnacle teaching job – however let’s not neglect concerning the enhancements within the Browns’ backfield throughout that point.
Chubb’s fantasy explosion was ignited by the Carlos Hyde commerce and fueled by Cleveland’s developments on offense. The rookie went from being barely used early within the season to averaging 19.6 touches per recreation over his remaining 10 outings.
With Kitchens on the helm, Chubb was a top-six fantasy working again in all codecs. The second-rounder even improved as a pass-catcher, hauling in 20 receptions on the 12 months regardless of not catching a ball till Week 8.
Chubb’s at the moment the RB7 in my early 2019 rankings, and do not be shocked if he sneaks into the primary spherical of fantasy drafts.
Loser: Peyton Barber
This one could be dishonest since Barber’s maintain on the beginning job possible would’ve been in jeopardy whatever the new coach, however Arians does not assist his 2019 projection.
Barber’s a restricted free agent and has seen his yards per carry drop over the previous two seasons. He is a volume-dependent rusher and a restricted pass-catcher who’s able to getting what’s blocked, however not way more.
Over Arians’ 5 seasons because the Cardinals’ head coach, his dashing assault was solely robust when David Johnson was on the roster and wholesome. In the course of the coach’s first two years in Arizona (with out Johnson), the workforce was one of many league’s worst at working the ball and returned to that stage in 2017 when Johnson missed all however one contest on account of harm.
Arians’ offense is designed round pushing the ball downfield – not producing yards on the bottom – which is smart for right this moment’s NFL, however does not assist a again like Barber who lacks game-breaking potential.
Moreover, count on the Buccaneers to herald new blood at working again. One title to look at is Le’Veon Bell, as Tampa Bay’s been given the third-best odds of touchdown him on the free-agent market. Both approach, this would possibly not be Barber’s backfield in 2019.
Winner: David Johnson
After a misplaced 2017 marketing campaign, Johnson was tasked with studying a brand new offensive system and enjoying alongside a rookie quarterback.
Issues did not go nicely in Arizona.
The offense in place initially of the season wasn’t tailor-made to the roster’s strengths. Josh Rosen struggled all through his first professional season – as many younger passers do when pressured to play behind a weak offensive line – whereas Arizona managed simply 241.6 yards of offense per recreation and possessed the ball for a median of 26 minutes, 33 seconds. For context, the second-worst NFL offense managed 48 extra yards and virtually a full minute extra of possession time per recreation.
By all of it, Johnson completed with 1,386 yards from scrimmage and 10 complete touchdowns, nicely under his regular elite manufacturing after being one of many first three picks off the board in most fantasy drafts.
Nevertheless, including an offensive thoughts like Kingsbury is an entire turnaround from the defensive strategy the Cardinals took after they employed former head coach Steve Wilks a 12 months in the past. Kingsbury will not make the identical mistake the earlier regime did when it did not deploy Johnson within the passing recreation.
Johnson’s a dual-threat again and somebody with a reliable probability at 1,000 dashing yards and 1,000 receiving yards in the identical season, a aim he is mentioned on many events. Kingsbury has a historical past of working pass-heavy offenses in school, and with Larry Fitzgerald possible heading towards retirement, Johnson and Christian Kirk would be the focus of Rosen’s makes an attempt.
The general public notion of Johnson is down, however contemplating he completed as a top-10 fantasy working again whereas the wheels fell off in Arizona, there is a excessive probability for a rebound in 2019. He’ll be a discount in fantasy drafts as a second-round choose with top-five upside.
Loser: Bears’ DST
Fangio’s a welcome addition for a previously fierce Broncos protection that is fallen off in current seasons.
Sadly, there is a flip aspect to that coin in Chicago, the place the Bears are shedding the mastermind who helped make them the league’s finest protection in 2018, in accordance with Soccer Outsiders‘ DVOA.
The 60-year-old Fangio spent 15 years coordinating NFL defenses earlier than getting his first crack at a head teaching job. And whereas it might be lengthy overdue, Bears gamers had been dissatisfied to see him go, expressing their disappointment on social media.
Earlier than becoming a member of the Bears, whose protection improved considerably throughout his four-year tenure, Fangio additionally loved a profitable spell with the 49ers from 2011-14. As Mark Potash of the Chicago Solar-Occasions identified, six San Francisco defenders reached their first Professional Bowl below Fangio, whereas none of them returned to the star-studded recreation after he left for Chicago.
This time, Fangio’s substitute in Chicago will likely be former Colts head coach Chuck Pagano, who made a reputation for himself coordinating a powerful Ravens protection in 2011, which featured a number of Corridor of Famers. Nevertheless, Pagano could not replicate that defensive success throughout his six seasons main the Colts.
Khalil Mack and Co. aren’t about to crumble with out Fangio, however they will actually lose a few of their high-end upside as a fantasy protection.